Taipei (RCSS) temperature today: live high, forecasts, climatology

chance of each range today's high, live updates with each report

rangeestimatemarket

≤16°C0%0¢

17°C0%0¢

18°C0%0¢

19°C0%0¢

20°C0%0¢

21°C97%97¢

22°C2%2¢

23°C1%0¢

24°C0%0¢

25°C0%0¢

≥26°C0%0¢

Our estimate, from ICON's forecast made early this morning (20.9° after taking out its usual 1.0° cold lean here), narrowed by what RCSS has reported so far and by how much it usually still climbs after this hour. Replayed on 19 past days (967 station-days): ranges it gave about 30% happened about 30% of the time. Its most likely range came true about a third of the time at 08:00, two thirds at 14:00 and nearly always by 17:00. The market price is the crowd's view; neither is advice.

live temperature, 24h °C local

actual dewpoint ecmwf usual range

station report raw METAR RCSS, 8 obs

METAR RCSS 100700Z 08007KT 030V120 9999 VCSH FEW015 SCT032 BKN060 20/13 Q1024 NOSIG RMK A3025

local temp dew wind cloud wx

15:00 20° 13° 080/07 BKN060 —

14:30 21° 14° 080/07 BKN050 —

14:00 20° 13° 060/08 BKN050 —

13:30 21° 13° 070/07 BKN032 —

13:00 20° 13° 070/08 BKN050 —

12:30 21° 13° 070/08 BKN050 —

12:00 20° 12° 070/08 BKN050 —

11:30 20° 12° 060/09 BKN050 —

what the numbers say right now evaluated at build

current state

▼

METAR 20°C at 15:00 local, -6.0°C vs 14d-median (26°C this hour) RCSS, running behind climatology

✓

Peak hour 12:00 has passed — today's maximum so far is 21°C climb projections apply before the peak, not after it

~

Climb (last ~90min): -0.7°C/h, dewpoint stable (14°C→13°C) stable dewpoint — no humidity drift

●

Today vs ECMWF: running -6.0°C behind trajectory ECMWF ens-mean 20°C, current 20°C @ 15:00

pws network CWOP volunteer stations within 25km, refreshed with the page

stations temperature + wind loading…

cool hot colour = deviation from network median, arrow = wind direction, length = speed

climatology last 14 days RCSS, n=14

Cloud cover layers — METAR reports the lowest broken/overcast layer first. Higher number = more sky covered.

SKC / CLR / NCDclear sky, no significant clouds

FEW1–2 oktas (12–25% cover), light scatter

SCT3–4 oktas (37–50%), scattered

BKN5–7 oktas (62–87%), broken (mostly cloudy)

OVC8 oktas (100%), overcast

VVvertical visibility (sky obscured by fog/precip)

+CBcumulonimbus suffix, thunderstorm cell

+TCUtowering cumulus, pre-storm vertical development

BKN014 = broken cloud at 1,400 ft. BKN014+CB = broken cloud + cumulonimbus present.

2026-11-10

this hour median 26.0°C usual 24.0°C–29.0°C

typical 12:00 28.0°C usual 26.0°C–30.0°C

noon → peak climb not enough history

how hot it gets last 14 days

33°C

14d high, 2026 11 01

avg high28.0°C

usual range26.0°C – 30.0°C

days ≥29°C6 / 14

days ≥30°C5 / 14

days ≥31°C3 / 14

when it peaks where the daily maximum usually lands

10:00–12:00

where the high landed on 66% of days

On dates near this one, this station's daily maximum fell between 10:00 and 12:00 local on 66% of 95 days, most often around 11:00.

The five-year mean curve is highest at 12:00 — that is when the average day is warmest, which runs later than the typical day's own peak.

Use the noon→later climb panel on the right to map current readings to expected peak.

afternoon climb noon to the peak 5-year mean for this date

12:00 → 13:00-0.1°C mean, 5y, n=108

12:00 → 14:00-0.4°C mean, 5y, n=107

12:00 → 15:00-1.0°C mean, 5y, n=106

12:00 → 16:00-1.8°C mean, 5y, n=106

12:00 → 17:00-2.9°C mean, 5y, n=106

12:00 → 18:00-3.2°C mean, 5y, n=105

12:00 → 19:00-3.4°C mean, 5y, n=106

12:00 → 20:00-3.6°C mean, 5y, n=104

today @ 12:0021°C

implied peak— vs ecmwf 20°C

station intelligence 5 years of IEM observations RCSS

heating passport climb to peak 54 observations per hour, 5 years, ±7 days

20° now at 15:00peak already set on 100% of days by nowtypically only +0.2° left (p90 +1.0°)

hrtemp remaining climbmean already peaked

0023°+4.5°7%

0123°+4.7°6%

0222°+4.7°9%

0322°+4.8°9%

0422°+5.0°6%

0522°+4.5°14%

0622°+4.9°10%

0723°+4.3°8%

0824°+2.9°11%

0925°+1.9°22%

1026°+1.2°37%

1126°+0.8°60%

1226°+0.6°77%

1326°+0.4°96%

1426°+0.3°100%

1525°+0.2°100%

1624°+0.3°100%

1723°+0.3°100%

1823°+0.3°100%

1923°+0.3°100%

2023°+0.3°100%

2123°+0.1°100%

2222°+0.1°100%

2322°+0.1°100%

cloud regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowbroken1.2° below normal across 214 days (-1.5 to -0.8).

coldernormalwarmer

few+2.4°50d

scattered+1.9°66d

broken-1.2°214d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) under that sky, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Sky state is the mean cover across the hours the day warms (09–15 local), not a single reading. An indicator, not a cause — where a sky state is rare it tends to arrive with the system that made it rare, so a large figure is usually the weather pattern showing through the cloud rather than the cloud itself. Greyed rows are not separable from normal.

wind regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowE at 7kt0.4° below normal across 240 days (-0.8 to -0.0).

coldernormalwarmer

VARIABLE+3.4°18d

W+2.1°20d

NW+0.1°18d

E-0.4°240d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) for that direction, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Direction is where the wind came from. An indicator, not a cause -- a direction arrives with a weather system, and it is the system you are seeing. Greyed rows are not separable from normal. ⚠ “now” is the latest single observation, while the history buckets whole days (09–15 local averaged), so today may still finish in a different sector.

hourly profile, 14d median local time

local	med	min	max	p25	p75
00:00	23°C	17°C	24°C	23°C	23°C
01:00	23°C	17°C	24°C	22°C	24°C
02:00	23°C	21°C	24°C	22°C	24°C
03:00	23°C	21°C	24°C	22°C	23°C
04:00	23°C	21°C	24°C	22°C	23°C
05:00	23°C	21°C	24°C	22°C	23°C
06:00	23°C	21°C	24°C	22°C	23°C
07:00	23°C	21°C	24°C	23°C	23°C
08:00	24°C	22°C	28°C	24°C	25°C
09:00	26°C	22°C	29°C	24°C	27°C
10:00	27°C	22°C	30°C	25°C	28°C
11:00	28°C	22°C	32°C	25°C	29°C
12:00	28°C	21°C	32°C	25°C	30°C
13:00	26°C	22°C	31°C	25°C	29°C
14:00	27°C	22°C	32°C	25°C	29°C
15:00	26°C	22°C	33°C	24°C	29°C
16:00	25°C	21°C	32°C	24°C	28°C
17:00	24°C	19°C	28°C	24°C	25°C
18:00	24°C	19°C	26°C	23°C	25°C
19:00	24°C	19°C	26°C	23°C	25°C
20:00	24°C	18°C	26°C	23°C	24°C
21:00	23°C	18°C	25°C	23°C	25°C
22:00	23°C	18°C	25°C	23°C	24°C
23:00	23°C	18°C	25°C	22°C	23°C

observed highs last 14 days Iowa Environmental Mesonet

11-09 24°C —

11-08 30°C —

11-07 26°C —

11-06 26°C —

11-05 32°C —

11-04 32°C —

11-03 27°C —

11-02 30°C —

11-01 33°C —

10-31 26°C —

10-30 29°C —

10-29 28°C —

10-28 26°C —

10-27 27°C —

forecast record what our morning pick said last 14 days

daymodelsaid highmiss

08-11ICON30°30°-0.0°

07-11ICON26°26°-0.0°

06-11ICON27°26°+0.8°

05-11ICON31°32°-0.7°

04-11ICON31°32°-0.5°

03-11ICON28°27°+0.7°

02-11ICON29°30°-0.7°

01-11ICON32°33°-1.2°

31-10ICON27°26°+1.0°

30-10Environment Canada GEM28°29°-1.3°

29-10ICON28°28°-0.3°

28-10ICON25°26°-1.0°

27-10Environment Canada GEM27°27°-0.0°

26-10ICON27°25°+1.9°

Each morning the site picks the model that has missed least here lately and takes out its usual lean; this is that forecast, made before the day's heating, beside what the station recorded. Over all 30 scored days: a typical miss of 0.8°, within a degree on 73% of days.

what each model says daily maximum ordered by accuracy at this station

models disagree by2.7°across 7 models today

modeltoday tomorrow its typical miss

DWD ICON20.0°24.3°1.09°most accurate here

ECMWF IFS20.6°24.2°1.12°

Environment Canada GEM17.9°23.2°1.59°

NOAA GFS19.4°23.3°1.64°

UK Met Office18.1°22.6°1.98°

JMA GSM18.0°21.7°2.70°

CMA GRAPES19.9°22.3°2.76°

Ordered by each model's track record at this station, not by a global ranking — the best model is not the same everywhere, and the median gap between a station's best and worst model is 1.2°C. A wide disagreement means the models have found different weather, not that the average of them is right.

model skill which model to trust here vs observed station max

model accuracy typical miss warm / cold within 1°

DWD ICON1.09°-1.03°53%

ECMWF IFS1.12°-0.68°53%

Environment Canada GEM1.59°-1.47°32%

NOAA GFS1.64°-1.64°34%

UK Met Office1.98°-1.96°21%

JMA GSM2.70°-2.70°18%

CMA GRAPES2.76°-2.76°16%

Typical miss is how far off the model usually is, in either direction — lower is better. Warm / cold is which way it leans: a model can be accurate on average and still run consistently warm here. Within 1° is how often it landed inside a degree. Scored against what this station actually recorded, over 38 days.

forecast TAF, valid 10/06Z→11/06Z

base10/06Z→11/06Z090° 8kt; 10km+; few at 1,000ft; broken at 3,200ft

temporarily10/06Z→10/12Z070° 13kt; 6000m; light rain; few at 1,000ft; broken at 2,000ft

temporarily10/18Z→10/24Z120° 5kt

TAF RCSS 100500Z 1006/1106 09008KT 9999 FEW010 BKN032 TEMPO 1006/1012 07013KT 6000 -RA FEW010 BKN020 TEMPO 1018/1024 12005KT

market vs climatology today 67 past days near this date

max market climatology marketclimate days

≤16°C0%0%0/67

17°C0%0%0/67

18°C0%1%1/67

19°C0%0%0/67

20°C0%4%3/67

21°C97%0%0/67

22°C2%6%4/67

23°C0%7%5/67

24°C0%13%9/67

25°C0%6%4/67

≥26°C0%61%41/67

Climatology is what this station actually recorded on this date across five years of IEM observations, bucketed on the rounded whole degree exactly as the market settles. It is a base rate, not a forecast — it knows nothing about today's weather, and the market does. Where the two differ, the market usually has the better information. Market column sums to 99% and climatology to 100%.