Seoul (RKSI) temperature today: live high, forecasts, climatology

chance of each range today's high, live updates with each report

rangeestimatemarket

≤6°C0%0¢

7°C0%0¢

8°C0%0¢

9°C0%0¢

10°C0%0¢

11°C0%0¢

12°C98%99¢

13°C1%0¢

14°C1%0¢

15°C<1%0¢

≥16°C0%0¢

Our estimate, from ICON's forecast made early this morning (12.0° after taking out its usual 0.1° cold lean here), narrowed by what RKSI has reported so far and by how much it usually still climbs after this hour. Replayed on 19 past days (967 station-days): ranges it gave about 30% happened about 30% of the time. Its most likely range came true about a third of the time at 08:00, two thirds at 14:00 and nearly always by 17:00. The market price is the crowd's view; neither is advice.

live temperature, 24h °C local

actual dewpoint ecmwf usual range

station report raw METAR RKSI, 8 obs

METAR RKSI 100700Z 28006KT CAVOK 11/03 Q1026 NOSIG

local temp dew wind cloud wx

16:00 11° 3° 280/06 CAVOK —

15:30 11° 3° 270/06 CAVOK —

15:00 12° 3° 280/04 CAVOK —

14:30 11° 3° 270/06 CAVOK —

14:00 12° 2° 280/05 CAVOK —

13:30 12° 2° 290/05 CAVOK —

13:00 11° 1° 280/06 CAVOK —

12:30 10° 1° 300/05 CAVOK —

what the numbers say right now evaluated at build

current state

✓

METAR 11°C at 16:00 local, inside the usual range for the last 14 days (10°C–16°C) RKSI, tracking climatology

✓

Peak hour 14:00 has passed — today's maximum so far is 12°C climb projections apply before the peak, not after it

~

Climb (last ~90min): +0.0°C/h, dewpoint stable (3°C→3°C) stable dewpoint — no humidity drift

●

Today vs ECMWF: running -3.0°C behind trajectory ECMWF ens-mean 11°C, current 11°C @ 16:00

pws network CWOP volunteer stations within 25km, refreshed with the page

stations temperature + wind loading…

cool hot colour = deviation from network median, arrow = wind direction, length = speed

climatology last 14 days RKSI, n=14

Cloud cover layers — METAR reports the lowest broken/overcast layer first. Higher number = more sky covered.

SKC / CLR / NCDclear sky, no significant clouds

FEW1–2 oktas (12–25% cover), light scatter

SCT3–4 oktas (37–50%), scattered

BKN5–7 oktas (62–87%), broken (mostly cloudy)

OVC8 oktas (100%), overcast

VVvertical visibility (sky obscured by fog/precip)

+CBcumulonimbus suffix, thunderstorm cell

+TCUtowering cumulus, pre-storm vertical development

BKN014 = broken cloud at 1,400 ft. BKN014+CB = broken cloud + cumulonimbus present.

2026-11-10

this hour median 14.0°C usual 10.0°C–16.0°C

typical 14:00 15.0°C usual 11.0°C–17.0°C

noon → peak climb +1.0°C

how hot it gets last 14 days

19°C

14d high, 2026 10 30

avg high15.0°C

usual range11.0°C – 17.0°C

days ≥16°C5 / 14

days ≥17°C5 / 14

days ≥18°C2 / 14

when it peaks where the daily maximum usually lands

12:00–14:00

where the high landed on 75% of days

On dates near this one, this station's daily maximum fell between 12:00 and 14:00 local on 75% of 122 days, most often around 13:00.

The five-year mean curve is highest at 14:00 — that is when the average day is warmest, which runs later than the typical day's own peak.

Use the noon→later climb panel on the right to map current readings to expected peak.

afternoon climb noon to the peak 5-year mean for this date

12:00 → 13:00+0.5°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 14:00+0.6°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 15:00+0.5°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 16:00-0.1°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 17:00-1.0°C mean, 5y, n=133

12:00 → 18:00-1.7°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 19:00-2.2°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 20:00-2.6°C mean, 5y, n=134

today @ 12:0010°C

implied peak11°C vs ecmwf 11°C

station intelligence 5 years of IEM observations RKSI

heating passport climb to peak 136 observations per hour, 5 years, ±7 days

11° now at 16:00peak already set on 99% of days by nowtypically only +0.3° left (p90 +1.0°)

hrtemp remaining climbmean already peaked

0010°+4.9°13%

019°+5.1°15%

029°+5.4°14%

039°+5.5°15%

049°+5.7°15%

059°+5.7°15%

069°+5.9°15%

078°+6.0°15%

089°+5.3°15%

0910°+4.1°18%

1011°+3.1°18%

1112°+2.0°22%

1213°+1.1°49%

1314°+0.6°70%

1414°+0.4°85%

1514°+0.3°97%

1613°+0.3°99%

1712°+0.3°98%

1812°+0.3°100%

1911°+0.3°100%

2011°+0.4°100%

2110°+0.4°100%

2210°+0.4°100%

239°+0.2°100%

cloud regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowclearonly 11 days on record against a floor of 20, so it is not shown — too few to characterise

coldernormalwarmer

few+0.3°26d

scattered+1.1°34d

broken+0.5°73d

overcast-0.9°35d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) under that sky, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Sky state is the mean cover across the hours the day warms (09–15 local), not a single reading. An indicator, not a cause — where a sky state is rare it tends to arrive with the system that made it rare, so a large figure is usually the weather pattern showing through the cloud rather than the cloud itself. Greyed rows are not separable from normal.

wind regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowW at 6kt+0.6° across 24 days (-0.3 to +1.6) — not separable from normal. Treat as no signal today.

coldernormalwarmer

S+2.0°36d

SE+1.8°39d

SW+1.6°14d

W+0.6°24d

E+0.6°37d

VARIABLE+0.4°33d

NE+0.1°59d

N-0.3°51d

NW-1.8°90d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) for that direction, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Direction is where the wind came from. An indicator, not a cause -- a direction arrives with a weather system, and it is the system you are seeing. Greyed rows are not separable from normal. ⚠ “now” is the latest single observation, while the history buckets whole days (09–15 local averaged), so today may still finish in a different sector.

hourly profile, 14d median local time

local	med	min	max	p25	p75
00:00	10°C	5°C	17°C	6°C	12°C
01:00	9°C	4°C	17°C	6°C	12°C
02:00	9°C	5°C	16°C	6°C	12°C
03:00	9°C	5°C	14°C	6°C	12°C
04:00	10°C	5°C	14°C	7°C	12°C
05:00	9°C	5°C	13°C	6°C	12°C
06:00	9°C	4°C	13°C	6°C	11°C
07:00	10°C	4°C	12°C	6°C	12°C
08:00	9°C	4°C	13°C	6°C	10°C
09:00	11°C	5°C	14°C	7°C	12°C
10:00	12°C	6°C	15°C	7°C	13°C
11:00	13°C	6°C	17°C	9°C	15°C
12:00	13°C	5°C	18°C	9°C	15°C
13:00	14°C	6°C	18°C	10°C	16°C
14:00	14°C	6°C	19°C	11°C	16°C
15:00	14°C	7°C	18°C	10°C	16°C
16:00	14°C	7°C	18°C	10°C	16°C
17:00	13°C	7°C	17°C	10°C	15°C
18:00	12°C	7°C	17°C	9°C	13°C
19:00	11°C	7°C	16°C	8°C	14°C
20:00	11°C	7°C	16°C	7°C	13°C
21:00	10°C	7°C	17°C	7°C	13°C
22:00	10°C	6°C	17°C	7°C	12°C
23:00	9°C	5°C	17°C	6°C	13°C

observed highs last 14 days Iowa Environmental Mesonet

11-10 5°C —

11-09 11°C —

11-08 7°C —

11-07 9°C —

11-06 13°C —

11-05 17°C —

11-04 18°C —

11-03 17°C —

11-02 15°C —

11-01 11°C —

10-31 17°C —

10-30 19°C —

10-29 13°C —

10-28 12°C —

forecast record what our morning pick said last 14 days

daymodelsaid highmiss

08-11ICON6°7°-1.0°

07-11ECMWF9°9°-0.5°

06-11ECMWF13°13°+0.3°

05-11ECMWF17°17°-0.4°

04-11ICON18°18°-0.3°

03-11ECMWF17°17°+0.3°

02-11ECMWF15°15°+0.3°

01-11ECMWF13°11°+2.1°

31-10ECMWF15°17°-1.6°

30-10ECMWF18°19°-1.1°

29-10ECMWF14°13°+0.8°

28-10ECMWF12°12°-0.4°

27-10ECMWF16°16°-0.2°

26-10ECMWF18°20°-1.6°

Each morning the site picks the model that has missed least here lately and takes out its usual lean; this is that forecast, made before the day's heating, beside what the station recorded. Over all 30 scored days: a typical miss of 0.9°, within a degree on 63% of days.

what each model says daily maximum ordered by accuracy at this station

models disagree by2.5°across 7 models today

modeltoday tomorrow its typical miss

DWD ICON11.7°14.2°0.71°most accurate here

ECMWF IFS10.9°14.0°0.90°

Environment Canada GEM12.0°15.5°0.95°

JMA GSM12.7°14.9°1.19°

UK Met Office12.1°13.9°1.36°

CMA GRAPES13.4°14.8°1.48°

NOAA GFS13.2°13.8°1.61°

Ordered by each model's track record at this station, not by a global ranking — the best model is not the same everywhere, and the median gap between a station's best and worst model is 1.2°C. A wide disagreement means the models have found different weather, not that the average of them is right.

model skill which model to trust here vs observed station max

model accuracy typical miss warm / cold within 1°

DWD ICON0.71°+0.06°82%

ECMWF IFS0.90°-0.61°68%

Environment Canada GEM0.95°+0.21°74%

JMA GSM1.19°-0.15°47%

UK Met Office1.36°-0.70°42%

CMA GRAPES1.48°-0.89°42%

NOAA GFS1.61°-0.81°42%

Typical miss is how far off the model usually is, in either direction — lower is better. Warm / cold is which way it leans: a model can be accurate on average and still run consistently warm here. Within 1° is how often it landed inside a degree. Scored against what this station actually recorded, over 38 days.

forecast TAF, valid 10/06Z→11/12Z

forecast max14°at 11/05Zmin 6°issued by the national met service

base10/06Z→11/12Z240° 6kt; 10km+; few at 4,500ft

becoming10/11Z→10/13Z310° 7kt

becoming10/18Z→10/20Z010° 6kt; 4000m; mist

becoming10/21Z→10/23Z050° 6kt; CAVOK (ceiling and visibility OK); no cloud below 5,000ft

becoming11/00Z→11/02Z240° 6kt

TAF RKSI 100500Z 1006/1112 24006KT 9999 FEW045 TN06/1021Z TX14/1105Z BECMG 1011/1013 31007KT BECMG 1018/1020 01006KT 4000 BR BECMG 1021/1023 05006KT CAVOK BECMG 1100/1102 24006KT

market vs climatology today 68 past days near this date

max market climatology marketclimate days

≤6°C0%6%4/68

7°C0%3%2/68

8°C0%1%1/68

9°C0%6%4/68

10°C0%3%2/68

11°C0%4%3/68

12°C99%6%4/68

13°C0%9%6/68

14°C0%9%6/68

15°C0%9%6/68

≥16°C0%44%30/68

Climatology is what this station actually recorded on this date across five years of IEM observations, bucketed on the rounded whole degree exactly as the market settles. It is a base rate, not a forecast — it knows nothing about today's weather, and the market does. Where the two differ, the market usually has the better information. Market column sums to 100% and climatology to 100%.