expected maximum31°from climatology
typical further climb+4.2°
usually warmestsunset 17:55
00040812162024
now
chance of each range today's high
No estimate right now: no forecast record for this station yet.
live temperature, 24h
°C local
actual
dewpoint
ecmwf
usual range
station report raw METAR
MPMG, 8 obs
local
temp
dew
wind
cloud
wx
22:00
27°
25°
320/05
CAVOK
—
21:00
28°
25°
300/05
CAVOK
—
20:00
28°
25°
300/05
CAVOK
—
19:00
28°
25°
320/05
CAVOK
—
18:00
29°
25°
320/06
FEW020
—
17:00
30°
26°
310/07
FEW018TCU
—
16:00
30°
27°
310/07
SCT017CB
—
15:30
30°
27°
300/04
SCT016CB
—
what the numbers say right now
evaluated at build
current state
?
No live METAR — climatology shown without observation context
MPMG
~
Climb (last ~90min): +0.0°C/h, dewpoint rising (25°C→25°C)
humidifying — caps daytime warming, cloud development likely
pws network
CWOP volunteer stations within 25km, refreshed with the page
stations temperature + wind
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cool
hot
colour = deviation from network median, arrow = wind direction, length = speed
climatology last 14 days
MPMG, n=14
Cloud cover layers — METAR reports the lowest broken/overcast layer first. Higher number = more sky covered.
SKC / CLR / NCDclear sky, no significant cloudsFEW1–2 oktas (12–25% cover), light scatterSCT3–4 oktas (37–50%), scatteredBKN5–7 oktas (62–87%), broken (mostly cloudy)OVC8 oktas (100%), overcastVVvertical visibility (sky obscured by fog/precip)+CBcumulonimbus suffix, thunderstorm cell+TCUtowering cumulus, pre-storm vertical developmentBKN014 = broken cloud at 1,400 ft. BKN014+CB = broken cloud + cumulonimbus present.
2026-11-10
this hour median
—
usual —–—
typical 13:00
—
usual —–—
noon → peak climb
not enough history
how hot it gets last 14 days
32°C
14d high, 2026 11 09
avg high—
usual range—
when it peaks where the daily maximum usually lands
11:00–13:00
where the high landed on 73% of days
On dates near this one, this station's daily maximum fell between 11:00 and 13:00 local on 73% of 133 days, most often around 12:00.
The five-year mean curve is highest at 13:00 — that is when the average day is warmest, which runs later than the typical day's own peak.
Use the noon→later climb panel on the right to map current readings to expected peak.
afternoon climb noon to the peak
5-year mean for this date
12:00 → 13:00+0.2°C mean, 5y, n=65
12:00 → 14:00-0.3°C mean, 5y, n=66
12:00 → 15:00-0.7°C mean, 5y, n=65
12:00 → 16:00-1.2°C mean, 5y, n=65
12:00 → 17:00-1.7°C mean, 5y, n=64
12:00 → 18:00-2.1°C mean, 5y, n=66
12:00 → 19:00-2.4°C mean, 5y, n=65
12:00 → 20:00-2.5°C mean, 5y, n=66
today @ 12:00—
implied peak—
vs ecmwf 31°C
station intelligence 5 years of IEM observations
MPMG
heating passport climb to peak
61 observations per hour, 5 years, ±7 days
27° now at 02:00typically +4.2° more (p90 +7.0°)expected peak 31°peak already set on 0% of days by now
hrtemp
mean
already peaked
0026°+3.9°0%
0126°+4.1°0%
0225°+4.2°0%
0325°+4.3°0%
0425°+4.4°0%
0525°+4.3°0%
0625°+4.4°0%
0725°+4.2°0%
0826°+3.3°0%
0927°+2.3°3%
1028°+1.6°15%
1129°+1.1°38%
1229°+0.6°57%
1329°+0.3°86%
1429°+0.3°97%
1528°+0.2°98%
1628°+0.1°100%
1727°+0.1°100%
1827°+0.1°100%
1927°+0.1°100%
2026°+0.1°100%
2126°+0.1°100%
2226°+0.0°100%
2326°+0.0°100%
cloud regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal
nowclearnot enough days on record here to say anything about it
coldernormalwarmer
scattered+0.2°366d
broken-1.4°55d
Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) under
that sky, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date.
Sky state is the mean cover across the hours the day warms (09–15 local), not a
single reading. An indicator, not a cause — where a sky state is rare it
tends to arrive with the system that made it rare, so a large figure is usually the
weather pattern showing through the cloud rather than the cloud itself. Greyed rows are
not separable from normal.
wind regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal
nowNW at 5kt0.6° above normal across 122 days (+0.4 to +0.8).
coldernormalwarmer
NW+0.6°122d
VARIABLE+0.5°55d
E+0.4°10d
SE-0.3°69d
W-0.5°30d
S-0.5°118d
SW-1.0°10d
Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) for
that direction, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the
date. Direction is where the wind came from. An indicator, not a cause -- a
direction arrives with a weather system, and it is the system you are seeing. Greyed rows
are not separable from normal. ⚠ “now” is the latest single observation,
while the history buckets whole days (09–15 local averaged), so today may still
finish in a different sector.
hourly profile, 14d median
local time
| local | med | min | max | p25 | p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 01:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 02:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 03:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 04:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 05:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 06:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 07:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 08:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 09:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11:00 | 32°C | 32°C | 32°C | 32°C | 32°C |
| 12:00 | 32°C | 32°C | 32°C | 32°C | 32°C |
| 13:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 15:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 16:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 17:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 18:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 19:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 20:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 21:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 22:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 23:00 | — | — | — | — | — |
observed highs last 14 days
Iowa Environmental Mesonet
11-09
32°C
—
11-08
31°C
—
11-07
28°C
—
11-06
30°C
—
11-05
31°C
—
11-04
30°C
—
11-03
31°C
—
11-02
31°C
—
11-01
31°C
—
10-31
32°C
—
10-30
30°C
—
10-29
32°C
—
10-28
30°C
—
10-27
29°C
—
what each model says daily maximum
ordered by accuracy at this station
models disagree by3.0°across 7 models today
modeltoday
tomorrow
its typical miss
CMA GRAPES31.9°31.2°—
ECMWF IFS31.9°32.3°—
Environment Canada GEM32.8°33.6°—
NOAA GFS32.8°31.9°—
DWD ICON33.4°33.1°—
JMA GSM30.4°30.2°—
UK Met Office32.9°32.0°—
Ordered by each model's track record at this station, not by a global ranking —
the best model is not the same everywhere, and the median gap between a station's best and worst model is 1.2°C. A wide disagreement means
the models have found different weather, not that the average of them is right.
forecast TAF, valid 10/00Z→10/12Z
base10/00Z→10/12Z330° 6kt; 10km+; scattered at 1,800ft
temporarily10/08Z→10/12Zvariable 2kt
TAF MPMG 092330Z 1000/1012 33006KT 9999 SCT018 TEMPO 1008/1012 VRB02KT
market vs climatology today
67 past days near this date
max
marketclimate
days
≤25°C0%0%0/67
26°C0%1%1/67
27°C0%7%5/67
28°C0%12%8/67
29°C1%28%19/67
30°C2%21%14/67
31°C4%19%13/67
32°C16%3%2/67
33°C36%7%5/67
34°C34%0%0/67
≥35°C9%0%0/67
Climatology is what this station actually recorded on this date across five years of IEM
observations, bucketed on the rounded whole degree exactly as the market settles.
It is a base rate, not a forecast — it knows nothing about today's weather,
and the market does. Where the two differ, the market usually has the better information.
Market column sums to 101% and climatology to 100%.