Moscow (UUWW) temperature today: live high, forecasts, climatology

chance of each range today's high, live updates with each report

rangeestimatemarket

≤-2°C0%0¢

-1°C0%0¢

0°C0%0¢

1°C0%0¢

2°C0%0¢

3°C0%0¢

4°C35%76¢

5°C25%24¢

6°C31%1¢

7°C5%0¢

≥8°C4%0¢

Our estimate, from ICON's forecast made early this morning (5.5° after taking out its usual 0.8° cold lean here), narrowed by what UUWW has reported so far and by how much it usually still climbs after this hour. Replayed on 19 past days (967 station-days): ranges it gave about 30% happened about 30% of the time. Its most likely range came true about a third of the time at 08:00, two thirds at 14:00 and nearly always by 17:00. The market price is the crowd's view; neither is advice.

live temperature, 24h °C local

actual dewpoint ecmwf usual range

station report raw METAR UUWW, 8 obs

METAR UUWW 100700Z 25005MPS 9999 SCT011 OVC025 03/01 Q1021 R24/190055 NOSIG

local temp dew wind cloud wx

10:00 3° 1° 250/10 OVC025 —

09:30 3° 1° 240/12 OVC028 -RA

09:00 3° 0° 240/10 OVC020 —

08:30 3° 0° 240/10 OVC024 —

08:00 3° 0° 240/08 BKN026 —

07:30 3° 0° 260/12 BKN026 —

07:00 3° 0° 260/10 BKN024 —

06:30 3° 0° 260/10 BKN025 —

what the numbers say right now evaluated at build

current state

✓

METAR 3°C at 10:00 local, inside the usual range for the last 14 days (1°C–5°C) UUWW, tracking climatology

↑

This-hour → peak climb median +1.0°C (n=14) — projects to ~4°C @ 15:00 if pattern holds based on noon→peak deltas in 14d window

~

Climb (last ~90min): +0.0°C/h, dewpoint rising (1°C→1°C) humidifying — caps daytime warming, cloud development likely

!

Clock test: METAR (3°C @ 10:00) with climatology suggests peak ≥6°C possible 14d records show 6/14 days reached ≥6°C

●

Today vs ECMWF: running -1.0°C behind trajectory ECMWF ens-mean 5°C, current 3°C @ 10:00

pws network CWOP volunteer stations within 25km, refreshed with the page

stations temperature + wind loading…

cool hot colour = deviation from network median, arrow = wind direction, length = speed

climatology last 14 days UUWW, n=14

Cloud cover layers — METAR reports the lowest broken/overcast layer first. Higher number = more sky covered.

SKC / CLR / NCDclear sky, no significant clouds

FEW1–2 oktas (12–25% cover), light scatter

SCT3–4 oktas (37–50%), scattered

BKN5–7 oktas (62–87%), broken (mostly cloudy)

OVC8 oktas (100%), overcast

VVvertical visibility (sky obscured by fog/precip)

+CBcumulonimbus suffix, thunderstorm cell

+TCUtowering cumulus, pre-storm vertical development

BKN014 = broken cloud at 1,400 ft. BKN014+CB = broken cloud + cumulonimbus present.

2026-11-10

this hour median 4.0°C usual 1.0°C–5.0°C

typical 15:00 5.0°C usual 3.0°C–11.0°C

noon → peak climb +1.0°C

how hot it gets last 14 days

13°C

14d high, 2026 10 30

avg high5.0°C

usual range3.0°C – 11.0°C

days ≥6°C6 / 14

days ≥7°C6 / 14

days ≥8°C6 / 14

when it peaks where the daily maximum usually lands

12:00–14:00

where the high landed on 70% of days

On dates near this one, this station's daily maximum fell between 12:00 and 14:00 local on 70% of 79 days, most often around 13:00.

The five-year mean curve is highest at 15:00 — that is when the average day is warmest, which runs later than the typical day's own peak.

Use the noon→later climb panel on the right to map current readings to expected peak.

afternoon climb noon to the peak 5-year mean for this date

12:00 → 13:00+0.2°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 14:00+0.3°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 15:00+0.4°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 16:00+0.2°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 17:00+0.0°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 18:00-0.1°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 19:00-0.2°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 20:00-0.4°C mean, 5y, n=132

today @ 12:00awaiting (now 10:00)

implied peak~6°C (clim) vs ecmwf 5°C

station intelligence 5 years of IEM observations UUWW

heating passport climb to peak 134 observations per hour, 5 years, ±7 days

3° now at 10:00typically +1.6° more (p90 +3.0°)expected peak 5°peak already set on 45% of days by now

hrtemp remaining climbmean already peaked

003°+1.7°34%

013°+1.7°37%

022°+1.8°37%

032°+1.8°37%

042°+1.9°37%

052°+1.9°39%

062°+1.9°40%

072°+1.9°42%

082°+1.9°42%

092°+1.8°43%

102°+1.6°45%

113°+1.2°49%

123°+0.9°57%

133°+0.6°72%

143°+0.5°76%

153°+0.4°82%

163°+0.4°84%

173°+0.4°87%

183°+0.4°87%

193°+0.3°90%

203°+0.3°92%

213°+0.2°95%

223°+0.2°97%

233°+0.1°100%

cloud regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowovercast0.9° below normal across 103 days (-1.7 to -0.1).

coldernormalwarmer

scattered-0.6°43d

broken-1.4°148d

overcast-0.9°103d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) under that sky, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Sky state is the mean cover across the hours the day warms (09–15 local), not a single reading. An indicator, not a cause — where a sky state is rare it tends to arrive with the system that made it rare, so a large figure is usually the weather pattern showing through the cloud rather than the cloud itself. Greyed rows are not separable from normal.

wind regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowW at 10kt-0.7° across 52 days (-2.0 to +0.6) — not separable from normal. Treat as no signal today.

coldernormalwarmer

S+2.0°57d

SE+1.4°47d

SW+0.9°83d

W-0.7°52d

E-1.7°40d

NE-1.9°21d

NW-2.4°47d

N-2.8°29d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) for that direction, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Direction is where the wind came from. An indicator, not a cause -- a direction arrives with a weather system, and it is the system you are seeing. Greyed rows are not separable from normal. ⚠ “now” is the latest single observation, while the history buckets whole days (09–15 local averaged), so today may still finish in a different sector.

hourly profile, 14d median local time

local	med	min	max	p25	p75
00:00	3°C	-1°C	8°C	0°C	6°C
01:00	4°C	-1°C	6°C	0°C	5°C
02:00	3°C	-1°C	6°C	0°C	5°C
03:00	3°C	0°C	5°C	1°C	4°C
04:00	3°C	0°C	5°C	1°C	4°C
05:00	2°C	0°C	4°C	1°C	4°C
06:00	2°C	0°C	4°C	1°C	3°C
07:00	1°C	-1°C	4°C	1°C	3°C
08:00	1°C	-1°C	4°C	1°C	3°C
09:00	2°C	-1°C	6°C	1°C	4°C
10:00	4°C	0°C	8°C	1°C	5°C
11:00	5°C	0°C	9°C	1°C	7°C
12:00	5°C	0°C	11°C	2°C	9°C
13:00	5°C	0°C	12°C	2°C	10°C
14:00	5°C	1°C	13°C	2°C	11°C
15:00	5°C	1°C	13°C	2°C	10°C
16:00	5°C	1°C	13°C	2°C	10°C
17:00	4°C	0°C	11°C	2°C	8°C
18:00	3°C	0°C	11°C	2°C	8°C
19:00	3°C	0°C	10°C	2°C	7°C
20:00	3°C	0°C	10°C	1°C	7°C
21:00	3°C	0°C	9°C	1°C	7°C
22:00	3°C	0°C	8°C	0°C	6°C
23:00	3°C	0°C	8°C	0°C	6°C

observed highs last 14 days Iowa Environmental Mesonet

11-09 5°C —

11-08 4°C —

11-07 1°C —

11-06 2°C —

11-05 5°C —

11-04 3°C —

11-03 3°C —

11-02 3°C —

11-01 10°C —

10-31 10°C —

10-30 13°C —

10-29 13°C —

10-28 13°C —

10-27 12°C —

forecast record what our morning pick said last 14 days

daymodelsaid highmiss

08-11ICON4°4°+0.3°

07-11ICON0°1°-0.5°

06-11ICON3°2°+0.8°

05-11ICON5°5°-0.1°

04-11ICON3°3°+0.2°

03-11ICON2°3°-0.9°

02-11ICON2°3°-0.8°

01-11ICON9°10°-1.3°

31-10ICON12°10°+1.5°

30-10ICON12°13°-0.5°

29-10ICON12°13°-0.8°

28-10ICON13°13°+0.1°

27-10ICON11°12°-0.9°

26-10ICON11°11°+0.4°

Each morning the site picks the model that has missed least here lately and takes out its usual lean; this is that forecast, made before the day's heating, beside what the station recorded. Over all 30 scored days: a typical miss of 1.1°, within a degree on 60% of days.

what each model says daily maximum ordered by accuracy at this station

models disagree by4.7°across 7 models today

modeltoday tomorrow its typical miss

DWD ICON4.8°3.3°1.03°most accurate here

Environment Canada GEM2.9°2.4°1.07°

NOAA GFS4.9°4.4°1.08°

ECMWF IFS4.5°4.0°1.20°

JMA GSM3.3°2.2°1.36°

UK Met Office4.4°1.5°1.91°

CMA GRAPES0.2°-1.0°2.65°

Ordered by each model's track record at this station, not by a global ranking — the best model is not the same everywhere, and the median gap between a station's best and worst model is 1.2°C. A wide disagreement means the models have found different weather, not that the average of them is right.

model skill which model to trust here vs observed station max

model accuracy typical miss warm / cold within 1°

DWD ICON1.03°-0.75°58%

Environment Canada GEM1.07°-0.64°61%

NOAA GFS1.08°-0.23°55%

ECMWF IFS1.20°-0.44°47%

JMA GSM1.36°-0.59°45%

UK Met Office1.91°-1.67°45%

CMA GRAPES2.65°-2.35°24%

Typical miss is how far off the model usually is, in either direction — lower is better. Warm / cold is which way it leans: a model can be accurate on average and still run consistently warm here. Within 1° is how often it landed inside a degree. Scored against what this station actually recorded, over 38 days.

forecast TAF, valid 10/06Z→11/06Z

forecast max5°at 10/12Zmin 2°issued by the national met service

base10/06Z→11/06Z240° 5mps; 10km+; broken at 1,600ft

becoming10/15Z→10/18Z180° 5mps

TAF UUWW 100509Z 1006/1106 24005MPS 9999 BKN016 TX05/1012Z TN02/1103Z BECMG 1015/1018 18005MPS

market vs climatology today 67 past days near this date

max market climatology marketclimate days

≤-2°C0%6%4/67

-1°C0%3%2/67

0°C0%13%9/67

1°C0%4%3/67

2°C0%6%4/67

3°C0%9%6/67

4°C76%7%5/67

5°C24%10%7/67

6°C1%7%5/67

7°C0%6%4/67

≥8°C0%27%18/67

Climatology is what this station actually recorded on this date across five years of IEM observations, bucketed on the rounded whole degree exactly as the market settles. It is a base rate, not a forecast — it knows nothing about today's weather, and the market does. Where the two differ, the market usually has the better information. Market column sums to 102% and climatology to 100%.