Mexico City (MMMX) temperature today: live high, forecasts, climatology

chance of each range today's high

No estimate right now: this morning's forecast has not arrived yet.

live temperature, 24h °C local

actual dewpoint ecmwf usual range

station report raw METAR MMMX, 8 obs

METAR MMMX 100642Z 14004KT 7SM FEW080 15/11 A3038 NOSIG RMK 8/030 ISOL CI HZY

local temp dew wind cloud wx

00:42 15° 11° 140/04 FEW080 —

23:47 16° 11° 300/05 SCT080 —

22:42 17° 10° 300/04 BKN220 —

21:44 18° 10° 040/04 BKN220 —

20:45 19° 11° 020/05 BKN220 —

19:40 20° 8° 140/08 BKN220 —

18:45 21° 8° 130/10 BKN220 —

17:40 22° 7° 120/15 SCT220 —

what the numbers say right now evaluated at build

current state

✓

METAR 15°C at 00:42 local, inside the usual range for the last 14 days (15°C–17°C) MMMX, tracking climatology

↑

This-hour → peak climb median +2.0°C (n=14) — projects to ~17°C @ 14:00 if pattern holds based on noon→peak deltas in 14d window

~

Climb (last ~90min): +0.0°C/h, dewpoint rising (11°C→11°C) humidifying — caps daytime warming, cloud development likely

!

Clock test: METAR (15°C @ 00:42) with climatology suggests peak ≥25°C possible 14d records show 7/14 days reached ≥25°C

●

Today vs ECMWF: running -1.0°C behind trajectory ECMWF ens-mean 23°C, current 15°C @ 00:42

pws network CWOP volunteer stations within 25km, refreshed with the page

stations temperature + wind loading…

cool hot colour = deviation from network median, arrow = wind direction, length = speed

climatology last 14 days MMMX, n=14

Cloud cover layers — METAR reports the lowest broken/overcast layer first. Higher number = more sky covered.

SKC / CLR / NCDclear sky, no significant clouds

FEW1–2 oktas (12–25% cover), light scatter

SCT3–4 oktas (37–50%), scattered

BKN5–7 oktas (62–87%), broken (mostly cloudy)

OVC8 oktas (100%), overcast

VVvertical visibility (sky obscured by fog/precip)

+CBcumulonimbus suffix, thunderstorm cell

+TCUtowering cumulus, pre-storm vertical development

BKN014 = broken cloud at 1,400 ft. BKN014+CB = broken cloud + cumulonimbus present.

2026-11-10

this hour median 16.0°C usual 15.0°C–17.0°C

typical 14:00 24.0°C usual 23.0°C–26.0°C

noon → peak climb +2.0°C

how hot it gets last 14 days

26°C

14d high, 2026 11 08

avg high24.0°C

usual range23.0°C – 26.0°C

days ≥25°C7 / 14

days ≥26°C4 / 14

days ≥27°C0 / 14

when it peaks where the daily maximum usually lands

13:00–15:00

where the high landed on 93% of days

On dates near this one, this station's daily maximum fell between 13:00 and 15:00 local on 93% of 138 days, most often around 14:00.

The five-year mean curve is highest at 14:00 — that is when the average day is warmest, which runs later than the typical day's own peak.

Use the noon→later climb panel on the right to map current readings to expected peak.

afternoon climb noon to the peak 5-year mean for this date

12:00 → 13:00+1.1°C mean, 5y, n=63

12:00 → 14:00+2.0°C mean, 5y, n=54

12:00 → 15:00+1.8°C mean, 5y, n=66

12:00 → 16:00+1.0°C mean, 5y, n=66

12:00 → 17:00-0.7°C mean, 5y, n=66

12:00 → 18:00-2.5°C mean, 5y, n=65

12:00 → 19:00-3.9°C mean, 5y, n=66

12:00 → 20:00-4.8°C mean, 5y, n=64

today @ 12:00awaiting (now 00:42)

implied peak~23°C (clim) vs ecmwf 23°C

station intelligence 5 years of IEM observations MMMX

heating passport climb to peak 66 observations per hour, 5 years, ±7 days

15° now at 01:00typically +11.1° more (p90 +15.0°)expected peak 26°peak already set on 0% of days by now

hrtemp remaining climbmean already peaked

0014°+10.1°0%

0113°+11.1°0%

0212°+12.1°0%

0312°+12.8°0%

0411°+13.4°0%

0510°+14.0°0%

0610°+14.4°0%

0712°+12.7°0%

0814°+10.3°0%

0917°+7.4°0%

1019°+5.2°0%

1121°+3.6°0%

1222°+2.0°8%

1323°+0.9°32%

1424°+0.3°78%

1524°+0.0°100%

1623°+0.0°100%

1722°+0.0°100%

1820°+0.0°100%

1918°+0.0°100%

2018°+0.0°100%

2117°+0.0°100%

2216°+0.0°100%

2315°+0.0°100%

cloud regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowfew1.1° above normal across 62 days (+0.7 to +1.5).

coldernormalwarmer

clear+0.9°39d

few+1.1°62d

scattered+0.6°91d

broken-0.3°147d

overcast-2.6°46d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) under that sky, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Sky state is the mean cover across the hours the day warms (09–15 local), not a single reading. An indicator, not a cause — where a sky state is rare it tends to arrive with the system that made it rare, so a large figure is usually the weather pattern showing through the cloud rather than the cloud itself. Greyed rows are not separable from normal.

wind regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowSE at 4kt-0.4° across 23 days (-1.0 to +0.1) — not separable from normal. Treat as no signal today.

coldernormalwarmer

E+0.8°55d

NE+0.4°89d

CALM+0.3°16d

VARIABLE-0.1°78d

N-0.3°97d

SE-0.4°23d

NW-1.6°20d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) for that direction, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Direction is where the wind came from. An indicator, not a cause -- a direction arrives with a weather system, and it is the system you are seeing. Greyed rows are not separable from normal. ⚠ “now” is the latest single observation, while the history buckets whole days (09–15 local averaged), so today may still finish in a different sector.

hourly profile, 14d median local time

local	med	min	max	p25	p75
00:00	16°C	14°C	18°C	15°C	17°C
01:00	15°C	14°C	17°C	15°C	16°C
02:00	15°C	13°C	17°C	14°C	15°C
03:00	14°C	12°C	16°C	13°C	15°C
04:00	13°C	11°C	15°C	12°C	14°C
05:00	12°C	11°C	15°C	12°C	13°C
06:00	11°C	10°C	15°C	10°C	13°C
07:00	12°C	9°C	13°C	11°C	13°C
08:00	13°C	9°C	14°C	13°C	14°C
09:00	15°C	12°C	17°C	14°C	16°C
10:00	18°C	16°C	19°C	17°C	19°C
11:00	19°C	18°C	22°C	18°C	20°C
12:00	21°C	18°C	23°C	20°C	22°C
13:00	22°C	20°C	24°C	22°C	23°C
14:00	23°C	22°C	25°C	23°C	24°C
15:00	24°C	23°C	26°C	24°C	25°C
16:00	24°C	22°C	26°C	23°C	25°C
17:00	24°C	21°C	26°C	23°C	25°C
18:00	23°C	19°C	25°C	21°C	24°C
19:00	21°C	18°C	23°C	19°C	22°C
20:00	19°C	17°C	22°C	18°C	20°C
21:00	18°C	14°C	19°C	17°C	19°C
22:00	17°C	14°C	19°C	17°C	19°C
23:00	17°C	14°C	19°C	16°C	18°C

observed highs last 14 days Iowa Environmental Mesonet

11-08 26°C —

11-07 23°C —

11-06 23°C —

11-05 25°C —

11-04 26°C —

11-03 26°C —

11-02 25°C —

11-01 24°C —

10-31 26°C —

10-30 24°C —

10-29 25°C —

10-28 24°C —

10-27 23°C —

10-26 24°C —

forecast record what our morning pick said last 14 days

daymodelsaid highmiss

08-11UK Met Office23°26°-3.2°

07-11UK Met Office23°23°+0.3°

06-11UK Met Office23°23°+0.4°

05-11UK Met Office25°25°+0.2°

04-11UK Met Office25°26°-0.9°

03-11UK Met Office26°26°-0.1°

02-11UK Met Office25°25°-0.0°

01-11UK Met Office24°24°-0.1°

31-10UK Met Office26°26°+0.0°

30-10UK Met Office25°24°+0.7°

29-10UK Met Office23°25°-2.0°

28-10UK Met Office24°24°-0.1°

27-10UK Met Office24°23°+0.7°

26-10UK Met Office23°24°-0.9°

Each morning the site picks the model that has missed least here lately and takes out its usual lean; this is that forecast, made before the day's heating, beside what the station recorded. Over all 31 scored days: a typical miss of 0.9°, within a degree on 68% of days.

what each model says daily maximum ordered by accuracy at this station

models disagree by3.7°across 7 models today

modeltoday tomorrow its typical miss

UK Met Office23.5°23.6°0.88°most accurate here

NOAA GFS24.0°25.0°1.03°

DWD ICON24.2°23.4°1.11°

ECMWF IFS23.9°25.0°1.41°

Environment Canada GEM23.3°24.6°1.59°

JMA GSM21.8°22.9°1.99°

CMA GRAPES20.5°20.5°2.93°

Ordered by each model's track record at this station, not by a global ranking — the best model is not the same everywhere, and the median gap between a station's best and worst model is 1.2°C. A wide disagreement means the models have found different weather, not that the average of them is right.

model skill which model to trust here vs observed station max

model accuracy typical miss warm / cold within 1°

UK Met Office0.88°+0.01°72%

NOAA GFS1.03°+0.22°59%

DWD ICON1.11°+0.21°56%

ECMWF IFS1.41°+0.60°38%

Environment Canada GEM1.59°-1.26°38%

JMA GSM1.99°-1.83°28%

CMA GRAPES2.93°-2.89°15%

Typical miss is how far off the model usually is, in either direction — lower is better. Warm / cold is which way it leans: a model can be accurate on average and still run consistently warm here. Within 1° is how often it landed inside a degree. Scored against what this station actually recorded, over 39 days.

forecast TAF, valid 10/06Z→11/06ZAMENDED

forecast max25°at 10/21Zmin 12°issued by the national met service

base10/06Z→11/06Z140° 5kt; >6 statute miles; scattered at 8,000ft

becoming10/09Z→10/10Z000° 0kt; 4 statute miles; haze; scattered at 2,000ft; broken at 8,000ft

temporarily10/11Z→10/15Z2 statute miles; mist; haze; broken at 800ft

from10/16Z onwards340° 10kt; >6 statute miles; scattered at 2,000ft; scattered at 20,000ft

from10/22Z onwards340° 10kt; >6 statute miles; broken at 2,000ft (CB)

temporarily10/23Z→11/03Z5 statute miles; thunderstorm rain; broken at 2,000ft (CB)

from11/04Z onwards340° 5kt; >6 statute miles; in the vicinity; rain; broken at 2,000ft; broken at 8,000ft

TAF COR MMMX 100651Z 1006/1106 14005KT P6SM SCT080 TX25/1021Z TN12/1012Z BECMG 1009/1010 00000KT 4SM HZ SCT020 BKN080 TEMPO 1011/1015 2SM BR HZ BKN008 FM101600 34010KT P6SM SCT020 SCT200 FM102200 34010KT P6SM BKN020CB TEMPO 1023/1103 5SM TSRA BKN020CB FM110400 34005KT P6SM VC RA BKN020 BKN080

market vs climatology today 66 past days near this date

max market climatology marketclimate days

≤15°C0%2%1/66

16°C0%0%0/66

17°C0%0%0/66

18°C0%0%0/66

19°C0%0%0/66

20°C0%2%1/66

21°C1%3%2/66

22°C3%2%1/66

23°C27%17%11/66

24°C55%21%14/66

≥25°C13%55%36/66

Climatology is what this station actually recorded on this date across five years of IEM observations, bucketed on the rounded whole degree exactly as the market settles. It is a base rate, not a forecast — it knows nothing about today's weather, and the market does. Where the two differ, the market usually has the better information. Market column sums to 99% and climatology to 100%.