Lucknow (VILK) temperature today: live high, forecasts, climatology

chance of each range today's high, live updates with each report

rangeestimatemarket

≤23°C0%0¢

24°C0%0¢

25°C0%0¢

26°C0%0¢

27°C0%0¢

28°C0%0¢

29°C5%48¢

30°C40%46¢

31°C49%2¢

32°C6%1¢

≥33°C<1%0¢

Our estimate, from ICON's forecast made early this morning (29.8° after taking out its usual 0.6° cold lean here), narrowed by what VILK has reported so far and by how much it usually still climbs after this hour. Replayed on 19 past days (967 station-days): ranges it gave about 30% happened about 30% of the time. Its most likely range came true about a third of the time at 08:00, two thirds at 14:00 and nearly always by 17:00. The market price is the crowd's view; neither is advice.

live temperature, 24h °C local

actual dewpoint ecmwf usual range

station report raw METAR VILK, 8 obs

METAR VILK 100700Z 31007KT 4000 HZ NSC 29/18 Q1016 NOSIG

local temp dew wind cloud wx

12:30 29° 18° 310/07 NSC HZ

12:00 28° 18° 310/04 NSC HZ

11:30 28° 19° 320/06 NSC HZ

11:00 28° 20° 320/05 NSC HZ

10:30 27° 19° 320/05 NSC HZ

10:00 26° 19° 310/05 NSC HZ

09:30 25° 19° 310/03 NSC HZ

09:00 24° 20° 300/03 NSC BR HZ

what the numbers say right now evaluated at build

current state

✓

METAR 29°C at 12:30 local, inside the usual range for the last 14 days (28°C–29°C) VILK, tracking climatology

↑

This-hour → peak climb median +1.0°C (n=14) — projects to ~30°C @ 14:00 if pattern holds based on noon→peak deltas in 14d window

~

Climb (last ~90min): +0.7°C/h, dewpoint falling (18°C→18°C) drying — accelerates warming

!

Clock test: METAR (29°C @ 12:30) with climatology suggests peak ≥31°C possible 14d records show 5/14 days reached ≥31°C

●

Today vs ECMWF: tracking forecast (+0.0°C) ECMWF ens-mean 29°C

pws network CWOP volunteer stations within 25km, refreshed with the page

stations temperature + wind loading…

cool hot colour = deviation from network median, arrow = wind direction, length = speed

climatology last 14 days VILK, n=14

Cloud cover layers — METAR reports the lowest broken/overcast layer first. Higher number = more sky covered.

SKC / CLR / NCDclear sky, no significant clouds

FEW1–2 oktas (12–25% cover), light scatter

SCT3–4 oktas (37–50%), scattered

BKN5–7 oktas (62–87%), broken (mostly cloudy)

OVC8 oktas (100%), overcast

VVvertical visibility (sky obscured by fog/precip)

+CBcumulonimbus suffix, thunderstorm cell

+TCUtowering cumulus, pre-storm vertical development

BKN014 = broken cloud at 1,400 ft. BKN014+CB = broken cloud + cumulonimbus present.

2026-11-10

this hour median 29.0°C usual 28.0°C–29.0°C

typical 14:00 30.0°C usual 30.0°C–31.0°C

noon → peak climb +1.0°C

how hot it gets last 14 days

32°C

14d high, 2026 10 27

avg high30.0°C

usual range30.0°C – 31.0°C

days ≥31°C5 / 14

days ≥32°C1 / 14

days ≥33°C0 / 14

when it peaks where the daily maximum usually lands

12:00–13:00

where the high landed on 77% of days

On dates near this one, this station's daily maximum fell between 12:00 and 13:00 local on 77% of 135 days, most often around 13:00.

The five-year mean curve is highest at 14:00 — that is when the average day is warmest, which runs later than the typical day's own peak.

Use the noon→later climb panel on the right to map current readings to expected peak.

afternoon climb noon to the peak 5-year mean for this date

12:00 → 13:00+0.7°C mean, 5y, n=117

12:00 → 14:00+0.9°C mean, 5y, n=122

12:00 → 15:00+0.8°C mean, 5y, n=115

12:00 → 16:00-0.0°C mean, 5y, n=119

12:00 → 17:00-2.0°C mean, 5y, n=118

12:00 → 18:00-4.5°C mean, 5y, n=117

12:00 → 19:00-5.7°C mean, 5y, n=117

12:00 → 20:00-6.5°C mean, 5y, n=115

today @ 12:0029°C

implied peak30°C vs ecmwf 29°C

station intelligence 5 years of IEM observations VILK

heating passport climb to peak 114 observations per hour, 5 years, ±7 days

29° now at 12:00typically +1.0° more (p90 +2.0°)expected peak 30°peak already set on 32% of days by now

hrtemp remaining climbmean already peaked

0019°+9.5°0%

0119°+10.0°0%

0218°+10.6°0%

0318°+11.0°0%

0418°+11.3°0%

0517°+11.6°0%

0617°+11.9°0%

0717°+11.5°0%

0820°+9.0°0%

0923°+6.3°0%

1025°+3.9°1%

1127°+2.2°3%

1228°+1.0°32%

1329°+0.4°75%

1429°+0.1°97%

1529°+0.1°100%

1628°+0.3°100%

1726°+0.7°100%

1824°+0.5°100%

1922°+0.3°100%

2021°+0.3°100%

2121°+0.2°100%

2220°+0.2°100%

2320°+0.2°100%

cloud regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowclear0.5° above normal across 135 days (+0.3 to +0.7).

coldernormalwarmer

clear+0.5°135d

few+0.7°52d

scattered+1.1°88d

broken-0.6°84d

overcast-4.4°22d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) under that sky, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Sky state is the mean cover across the hours the day warms (09–15 local), not a single reading. An indicator, not a cause — where a sky state is rare it tends to arrive with the system that made it rare, so a large figure is usually the weather pattern showing through the cloud rather than the cloud itself. Greyed rows are not separable from normal.

wind regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowNW at 7kt0.7° above normal across 88 days (+0.3 to +1.0).

coldernormalwarmer

W+0.9°57d

NW+0.7°88d

N+0.6°13d

VARIABLE+0.2°15d

CALM+0.1°39d

SE-0.4°32d

E-0.9°58d

NE-1.4°17d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) for that direction, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Direction is where the wind came from. An indicator, not a cause -- a direction arrives with a weather system, and it is the system you are seeing. Greyed rows are not separable from normal. ⚠ “now” is the latest single observation, while the history buckets whole days (09–15 local averaged), so today may still finish in a different sector.

hourly profile, 14d median local time

local	med	min	max	p25	p75
00:00	22°C	20°C	25°C	20°C	23°C
01:00	21°C	19°C	24°C	20°C	23°C
02:00	21°C	19°C	25°C	20°C	22°C
03:00	21°C	19°C	25°C	20°C	22°C
04:00	21°C	17°C	25°C	19°C	22°C
05:00	21°C	18°C	24°C	19°C	22°C
06:00	21°C	17°C	24°C	19°C	21°C
07:00	20°C	17°C	24°C	19°C	21°C
08:00	22°C	19°C	25°C	20°C	23°C
09:00	23°C	21°C	27°C	23°C	25°C
10:00	26°C	23°C	29°C	24°C	27°C
11:00	28°C	22°C	30°C	27°C	29°C
12:00	29°C	22°C	31°C	28°C	29°C
13:00	30°C	22°C	31°C	29°C	30°C
14:00	30°C	22°C	31°C	30°C	31°C
15:00	30°C	22°C	32°C	29°C	30°C
16:00	29°C	22°C	31°C	28°C	30°C
17:00	27°C	22°C	30°C	27°C	28°C
18:00	26°C	22°C	29°C	24°C	26°C
19:00	24°C	21°C	26°C	23°C	25°C
20:00	23°C	21°C	27°C	22°C	24°C
21:00	23°C	21°C	26°C	21°C	23°C
22:00	22°C	20°C	26°C	21°C	23°C
23:00	21°C	20°C	25°C	20°C	23°C

observed highs last 14 days Iowa Environmental Mesonet

11-09 30°C —

11-08 31°C —

11-07 30°C —

11-06 30°C —

11-05 30°C —

11-04 30°C —

11-03 31°C —

11-02 30°C —

11-01 27°C —

10-31 24°C —

10-30 23°C —

10-29 31°C —

10-28 31°C —

10-27 32°C —

forecast record what our morning pick said last 14 days

daymodelsaid highmiss

08-11ICON30°31°-0.9°

07-11ICON31°30°+0.8°

06-11ICON31°30°+0.5°

05-11ICON30°30°+0.4°

04-11ICON30°30°+0.4°

03-11ICON30°31°-0.9°

02-11ICON29°30°-1.2°

01-11ICON27°27°+0.2°

31-10ICON25°24°+0.9°

30-10ICON23°23°-0.2°

29-10ECMWF30°31°-1.3°

28-10ECMWF28°31°-2.7°

27-10ICON31°32°-0.9°

26-10ECMWF32°32°+0.2°

Each morning the site picks the model that has missed least here lately and takes out its usual lean; this is that forecast, made before the day's heating, beside what the station recorded. Over all 30 scored days: a typical miss of 0.6°, within a degree on 83% of days.

what each model says daily maximum ordered by accuracy at this station

models disagree by2.9°across 7 models today

modeltoday tomorrow its typical miss

DWD ICON29.4°28.4°0.71°most accurate here

NOAA GFS29.5°29.5°0.77°

UK Met Office28.6°28.0°0.98°

JMA GSM29.6°30.4°1.02°

Environment Canada GEM30.8°31.3°1.18°

ECMWF IFS28.6°28.7°1.26°

CMA GRAPES27.9°27.3°1.78°

Ordered by each model's track record at this station, not by a global ranking — the best model is not the same everywhere, and the median gap between a station's best and worst model is 1.2°C. A wide disagreement means the models have found different weather, not that the average of them is right.

model skill which model to trust here vs observed station max

model accuracy typical miss warm / cold within 1°

DWD ICON0.71°-0.56°76%

NOAA GFS0.77°+0.23°76%

UK Met Office0.98°-0.71°66%

JMA GSM1.02°+0.28°63%

Environment Canada GEM1.18°+0.63°47%

ECMWF IFS1.26°-1.08°50%

CMA GRAPES1.78°-0.80°29%

Typical miss is how far off the model usually is, in either direction — lower is better. Warm / cold is which way it leans: a model can be accurate on average and still run consistently warm here. Within 1° is how often it landed inside a degree. Scored against what this station actually recorded, over 38 days.

forecast TAF, valid 10/06Z→11/12Z

base10/06Z→11/12Z320° 5kt; 4000m; haze; no significant cloud

becoming10/07Z→10/09Z5000m; haze

becoming10/13Z→10/15Zvariable 2kt; 2500m; mist

becoming11/00Z→11/02Z1000m; mist; shallow fog

becoming11/03Z→11/05Z290° 5kt; 2500m; mist; haze

becoming11/08Z→11/10Z5000m; haze

TAF VILK 100500Z 1006/1112 32005KT 4000 HZ NSC BECMG 1007/1009 5000 HZ BECMG 1013/1015 VRB02KT 2500 BR BECMG 1100/1102 1000 BR MIFG BECMG 1103/1105 29005KT 2500 BR HZ BECMG 1108/1110 5000 HZ

market vs climatology today 67 past days near this date

max market climatology marketclimate days

≤23°C0%1%1/67

24°C0%0%0/67

25°C0%0%0/67

26°C0%3%2/67

27°C0%16%11/67

28°C0%13%9/67

29°C48%18%12/67

30°C46%31%21/67

31°C2%15%10/67

32°C1%1%1/67

≥33°C0%0%0/67

Climatology is what this station actually recorded on this date across five years of IEM observations, bucketed on the rounded whole degree exactly as the market settles. It is a base rate, not a forecast — it knows nothing about today's weather, and the market does. Where the two differ, the market usually has the better information. Market column sums to 98% and climatology to 100%.