Guangzhou (ZGGG) temperature today: live high, forecasts, climatology

chance of each range today's high, live updates with each report

rangeestimatemarket

≤15°C0%0¢

16°C0%0¢

17°C0%0¢

18°C0%0¢

19°C0%0¢

20°C0%0¢

21°C0%0¢

22°C0%0¢

23°C88%99¢

24°C11%0¢

≥25°C1%0¢

Our estimate, from ICON's forecast made early this morning (22.4° after taking out its usual 2.0° cold lean here), narrowed by what ZGGG has reported so far and by how much it usually still climbs after this hour. Replayed on 19 past days (967 station-days): ranges it gave about 30% happened about 30% of the time. Its most likely range came true about a third of the time at 08:00, two thirds at 14:00 and nearly always by 17:00. The market price is the crowd's view; neither is advice.

live temperature, 24h °C local

actual dewpoint ecmwf usual range

station report raw METAR ZGGG, 8 obs

METAR ZGGG 100700Z 36005MPS 330V040 CAVOK 22/03 Q1023 NOSIG

local temp dew wind cloud wx

15:00 22° 3° 360/10 CAVOK —

14:30 23° 2° 020/12 CAVOK —

14:00 22° 2° 030/14 CAVOK —

13:30 22° 2° 010/12 CAVOK —

13:00 21° 2° 360/12 CAVOK —

12:30 21° 2° 010/12 CAVOK —

12:00 20° 1° 020/16 CAVOK —

11:30 20° 2° 360/12 CAVOK —

what the numbers say right now evaluated at build

current state

▼

METAR 22°C at 15:00 local, -9.0°C vs 14d-median (31°C this hour) ZGGG, running behind climatology

✓

Peak hour 14:00 has passed — today's maximum so far is 23°C climb projections apply before the peak, not after it

~

Climb (last ~90min): +0.0°C/h, dewpoint rising (2°C→3°C) humidifying — caps daytime warming, cloud development likely

●

Today vs ECMWF: running -9.0°C behind trajectory ECMWF ens-mean 20°C, current 22°C @ 15:00

pws network CWOP volunteer stations within 25km, refreshed with the page

stations temperature + wind loading…

cool hot colour = deviation from network median, arrow = wind direction, length = speed

climatology last 14 days ZGGG, n=14

Cloud cover layers — METAR reports the lowest broken/overcast layer first. Higher number = more sky covered.

SKC / CLR / NCDclear sky, no significant clouds

FEW1–2 oktas (12–25% cover), light scatter

SCT3–4 oktas (37–50%), scattered

BKN5–7 oktas (62–87%), broken (mostly cloudy)

OVC8 oktas (100%), overcast

VVvertical visibility (sky obscured by fog/precip)

+CBcumulonimbus suffix, thunderstorm cell

+TCUtowering cumulus, pre-storm vertical development

BKN014 = broken cloud at 1,400 ft. BKN014+CB = broken cloud + cumulonimbus present.

2026-11-10

this hour median 31.0°C usual 29.0°C–32.0°C

typical 14:00 31.0°C usual 30.0°C–33.0°C

noon → peak climb +1.0°C

how hot it gets last 14 days

33°C

14d high, 2026 11 08

avg high31.0°C

usual range30.0°C – 33.0°C

days ≥32°C5 / 14

days ≥33°C4 / 14

days ≥34°C0 / 14

when it peaks where the daily maximum usually lands

12:00–14:00

where the high landed on 73% of days

On dates near this one, this station's daily maximum fell between 12:00 and 14:00 local on 73% of 131 days, most often around 13:00.

The five-year mean curve is highest at 14:00 — that is when the average day is warmest, which runs later than the typical day's own peak.

Use the noon→later climb panel on the right to map current readings to expected peak.

afternoon climb noon to the peak 5-year mean for this date

12:00 → 13:00+0.5°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 14:00+0.7°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 15:00+0.6°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 16:00+0.1°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 17:00-0.8°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 18:00-1.6°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 19:00-2.1°C mean, 5y, n=134

12:00 → 20:00-2.6°C mean, 5y, n=134

today @ 12:0021°C

implied peak22°C vs ecmwf 20°C

station intelligence 5 years of IEM observations ZGGG

heating passport climb to peak 136 observations per hour, 5 years, ±7 days

22° now at 15:00peak already set on 100% of days by nowtypically only +0.2° left (p90 +1.0°)

hrtemp remaining climbmean already peaked

0022°+5.2°3%

0122°+5.6°3%

0222°+5.8°3%

0321°+6.0°3%

0421°+6.2°3%

0521°+6.3°3%

0621°+6.5°3%

0721°+6.2°3%

0822°+5.4°3%

0923°+4.2°4%

1024°+3.0°9%

1125°+2.1°16%

1226°+1.3°36%

1327°+0.8°60%

1427°+0.4°87%

1527°+0.2°100%

1626°+0.2°100%

1725°+0.3°100%

1824°+0.2°100%

1924°+0.1°100%

2024°+0.1°100%

2123°+0.1°100%

2223°+0.2°100%

2322°+0.1°100%

cloud regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowclearnot enough days on record here to say anything about it

coldernormalwarmer

few+1.4°27d

scattered+1.4°107d

broken-0.7°96d

overcast-4.4°37d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) under that sky, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Sky state is the mean cover across the hours the day warms (09–15 local), not a single reading. An indicator, not a cause — where a sky state is rare it tends to arrive with the system that made it rare, so a large figure is usually the weather pattern showing through the cloud rather than the cloud itself. Greyed rows are not separable from normal.

wind regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowN at 10kt1.7° below normal across 146 days (-2.2 to -1.2).

coldernormalwarmer

SE+2.0°10d

VARIABLE+1.8°10d

E+0.9°72d

NE-0.1°77d

N-1.7°146d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) for that direction, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Direction is where the wind came from. An indicator, not a cause -- a direction arrives with a weather system, and it is the system you are seeing. Greyed rows are not separable from normal. ⚠ “now” is the latest single observation, while the history buckets whole days (09–15 local averaged), so today may still finish in a different sector.

hourly profile, 14d median local time

local	med	min	max	p25	p75
00:00	25°C	16°C	27°C	24°C	26°C
01:00	25°C	16°C	27°C	24°C	25°C
02:00	24°C	22°C	26°C	24°C	25°C
03:00	24°C	22°C	26°C	24°C	25°C
04:00	24°C	22°C	26°C	23°C	24°C
05:00	24°C	21°C	26°C	23°C	24°C
06:00	24°C	21°C	25°C	23°C	24°C
07:00	24°C	21°C	25°C	23°C	24°C
08:00	24°C	21°C	26°C	24°C	25°C
09:00	26°C	21°C	28°C	25°C	27°C
10:00	28°C	24°C	29°C	26°C	28°C
11:00	29°C	24°C	31°C	27°C	30°C
12:00	30°C	24°C	32°C	29°C	31°C
13:00	30°C	24°C	33°C	29°C	32°C
14:00	30°C	23°C	33°C	29°C	32°C
15:00	31°C	23°C	33°C	29°C	32°C
16:00	30°C	22°C	32°C	27°C	31°C
17:00	30°C	21°C	31°C	27°C	31°C
18:00	28°C	19°C	30°C	27°C	30°C
19:00	27°C	19°C	30°C	26°C	28°C
20:00	27°C	18°C	30°C	26°C	28°C
21:00	27°C	18°C	29°C	26°C	27°C
22:00	26°C	17°C	29°C	25°C	26°C
23:00	25°C	17°C	28°C	25°C	26°C

observed highs last 14 days Iowa Environmental Mesonet

11-10 16°C —

11-09 24°C —

11-08 33°C —

11-07 30°C —

11-06 31°C —

11-05 30°C —

11-04 30°C —

11-03 30°C —

11-02 31°C —

11-01 33°C —

10-31 33°C —

10-30 33°C —

10-29 30°C —

10-28 32°C —

forecast record what our morning pick said last 14 days

daymodelsaid highmiss

08-11ICON30°33°-2.8°

07-11ICON30°30°+0.4°

06-11ECMWF31°31°-0.2°

05-11Environment Canada GEM32°30°+1.7°

04-11Environment Canada GEM31°30°+0.6°

03-11ECMWF31°30°+1.1°

02-11ECMWF31°31°-0.3°

01-11ECMWF32°33°-1.4°

31-10ECMWF32°33°-0.8°

30-10ECMWF33°33°+0.3°

29-10ECMWF32°30°+2.1°

28-10ECMWF31°32°-1.1°

27-10ECMWF32°32°+0.3°

26-10ECMWF32°32°+0.3°

Each morning the site picks the model that has missed least here lately and takes out its usual lean; this is that forecast, made before the day's heating, beside what the station recorded. Over all 30 scored days: a typical miss of 0.9°, within a degree on 73% of days.

what each model says daily maximum ordered by accuracy at this station

models disagree by2.6°across 7 models today

modeltoday tomorrow its typical miss

Environment Canada GEM20.3°23.3°1.15°most accurate here

NOAA GFS21.7°23.5°1.34°

ECMWF IFS19.8°22.6°1.57°

DWD ICON20.1°22.4°1.99°

UK Met Office20.1°22.5°2.24°

JMA GSM21.3°24.0°2.54°

CMA GRAPES19.1°20.5°3.14°

Ordered by each model's track record at this station, not by a global ranking — the best model is not the same everywhere, and the median gap between a station's best and worst model is 1.2°C. A wide disagreement means the models have found different weather, not that the average of them is right.

model skill which model to trust here vs observed station max

model accuracy typical miss warm / cold within 1°

Environment Canada GEM1.15°-0.87°55%

NOAA GFS1.34°-1.15°39%

ECMWF IFS1.57°-1.53°32%

DWD ICON1.99°-1.98°13%

UK Met Office2.24°-2.22°13%

JMA GSM2.54°-2.54°13%

CMA GRAPES3.14°-3.14°5%

Typical miss is how far off the model usually is, in either direction — lower is better. Warm / cold is which way it leans: a model can be accurate on average and still run consistently warm here. Within 1° is how often it landed inside a degree. Scored against what this station actually recorded, over 38 days.

forecast TAF, valid 10/06Z→11/12Z

forecast max24°at 11/07Zmin 13°issued by the national met service

base10/06Z→11/12Z360° 5mps; 8000m; no significant cloud

becoming10/19Z→10/20Z060° 3mps

TAF ZGGG 100306Z 1006/1112 36005MPS 8000 NSC TX22/1007Z TX24/1107Z TN13/1022Z BECMG 1019/1020 06003MPS

market vs climatology today 68 past days near this date

max market climatology marketclimate days

≤15°C0%0%0/68

16°C0%1%1/68

17°C0%0%0/68

18°C0%0%0/68

19°C0%1%1/68

20°C0%4%3/68

21°C0%1%1/68

22°C0%9%6/68

23°C99%3%2/68

24°C0%3%2/68

≥25°C0%76%52/68

Climatology is what this station actually recorded on this date across five years of IEM observations, bucketed on the rounded whole degree exactly as the market settles. It is a base rate, not a forecast — it knows nothing about today's weather, and the market does. Where the two differ, the market usually has the better information. Market column sums to 100% and climatology to 100%.