Chengdu (ZUUU) temperature today: live high, forecasts, climatology

chance of each range today's high, live updates with each report

rangeestimatemarket

≤11°C0%0¢

12°C0%0¢

13°C0%0¢

14°C0%0¢

15°C0%0¢

16°C0%0¢

17°C79%99¢

18°C18%1¢

19°C3%0¢

20°C1%0¢

≥21°C0%0¢

Our estimate, from ICON's forecast made early this morning (16.5° after taking out its usual 0.7° cold lean here), narrowed by what ZUUU has reported so far and by how much it usually still climbs after this hour. Replayed on 19 past days (967 station-days): ranges it gave about 30% happened about 30% of the time. Its most likely range came true about a third of the time at 08:00, two thirds at 14:00 and nearly always by 17:00. The market price is the crowd's view; neither is advice.

live temperature, 24h °C local

actual dewpoint ecmwf usual range

station report raw METAR ZUUU, 8 obs

METAR ZUUU 100700Z VRB02MPS CAVOK 17/03 Q1027 NOSIG

local temp dew wind cloud wx

15:00 17° 3° — CAVOK —

14:00 16° 4° — CAVOK —

13:00 16° 5° 100/04 CAVOK —

12:00 15° 5° — CAVOK —

11:00 15° 6° — CAVOK —

10:00 14° 6° — CAVOK —

09:00 12° 9° — CAVOK —

08:00 11° 8° 210/04 CAVOK —

what the numbers say right now evaluated at build

current state

▼

METAR 17°C at 15:00 local, -3.0°C vs 14d-median (20°C this hour) ZUUU, running behind climatology

↑

This-hour → peak climb median +1.0°C (n=14) — projects to ~18°C @ 15:00 if pattern holds based on noon→peak deltas in 14d window

~

Climb (last ~90min): +0.0°C/h, dewpoint falling (4°C→3°C) drying — accelerates warming

!

Clock test: METAR (17°C @ 15:00) with climatology suggests peak ≥21°C possible 14d records show 5/14 days reached ≥21°C

●

Today vs ECMWF: running -3.0°C behind trajectory ECMWF ens-mean 16°C, current 17°C @ 15:00

pws network CWOP volunteer stations within 25km, refreshed with the page

stations temperature + wind loading…

cool hot colour = deviation from network median, arrow = wind direction, length = speed

climatology last 14 days ZUUU, n=14

Cloud cover layers — METAR reports the lowest broken/overcast layer first. Higher number = more sky covered.

SKC / CLR / NCDclear sky, no significant clouds

FEW1–2 oktas (12–25% cover), light scatter

SCT3–4 oktas (37–50%), scattered

BKN5–7 oktas (62–87%), broken (mostly cloudy)

OVC8 oktas (100%), overcast

VVvertical visibility (sky obscured by fog/precip)

+CBcumulonimbus suffix, thunderstorm cell

+TCUtowering cumulus, pre-storm vertical development

BKN014 = broken cloud at 1,400 ft. BKN014+CB = broken cloud + cumulonimbus present.

2026-11-10

this hour median 20.0°C usual 19.0°C–21.0°C

typical 15:00 20.0°C usual 19.0°C–21.0°C

noon → peak climb +1.0°C

how hot it gets last 14 days

24°C

14d high, 2026 10 29

avg high20.0°C

usual range19.0°C – 21.0°C

days ≥21°C5 / 14

days ≥22°C3 / 14

days ≥23°C2 / 14

when it peaks where the daily maximum usually lands

13:00–14:00

where the high landed on 64% of days

On dates near this one, this station's daily maximum fell between 13:00 and 14:00 local on 64% of 127 days, most often around 14:00.

The five-year mean curve is highest at 15:00 — that is when the average day is warmest, which runs later than the typical day's own peak.

Use the noon→later climb panel on the right to map current readings to expected peak.

afternoon climb noon to the peak 5-year mean for this date

12:00 → 13:00+0.7°C mean, 5y, n=67

12:00 → 14:00+1.0°C mean, 5y, n=67

12:00 → 15:00+1.1°C mean, 5y, n=67

12:00 → 16:00+0.9°C mean, 5y, n=67

12:00 → 17:00+0.4°C mean, 5y, n=67

12:00 → 18:00-0.2°C mean, 5y, n=67

12:00 → 19:00-0.8°C mean, 5y, n=67

12:00 → 20:00-1.2°C mean, 5y, n=67

today @ 12:0015°C

implied peak16°C vs ecmwf 16°C

station intelligence 5 years of IEM observations ZUUU

heating passport climb to peak 68 observations per hour, 5 years, ±7 days

17° now at 15:00peak already set on 94% of days by nowtypically only +0.1° left (p90 +1.0°)

hrtemp remaining climbmean already peaked

0015°+3.4°9%

0115°+3.6°7%

0215°+3.7°7%

0315°+3.9°7%

0415°+4.1°7%

0514°+4.3°7%

0614°+4.4°7%

0714°+4.5°7%

0814°+4.3°7%

0915°+3.7°7%

1016°+2.8°10%

1117°+2.0°15%

1217°+1.4°22%

1318°+0.7°52%

1418°+0.3°79%

1518°+0.1°94%

1618°+0.0°100%

1718°+0.0°100%

1817°+0.0°100%

1916°+0.0°100%

2016°+0.1°100%

2116°+0.1°100%

2216°+0.1°100%

2315°+0.0°100%

cloud regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowclearonly 17 days on record against a floor of 20, so it is not shown — too few to characterise

coldernormalwarmer

few+1.3°87d

scattered-0.6°161d

broken-2.4°49d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) under that sky, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Sky state is the mean cover across the hours the day warms (09–15 local), not a single reading. An indicator, not a cause — where a sky state is rare it tends to arrive with the system that made it rare, so a large figure is usually the weather pattern showing through the cloud rather than the cloud itself. Greyed rows are not separable from normal.

wind regime Sep–Nov, against this date's normal

nowcalm or variableno steady direction through the day, so no sector describes it

coldernormalwarmer

S+2.0°28d

VARIABLE+0.7°12d

W-0.5°10d

NW-0.7°15d

SW-0.8°30d

N-0.9°80d

NE-1.7°52d

Each bar is the middle half of days (25th–75th percentile) for that direction, with a tick at the mean; the centre line is this station's normal for the date. Direction is where the wind came from. An indicator, not a cause -- a direction arrives with a weather system, and it is the system you are seeing. Greyed rows are not separable from normal. ⚠ “now” is the latest single observation, while the history buckets whole days (09–15 local averaged), so today may still finish in a different sector.

hourly profile, 14d median local time

local	med	min	max	p25	p75
00:00	17°C	12°C	19°C	15°C	17°C
01:00	16°C	12°C	18°C	15°C	17°C
02:00	16°C	14°C	18°C	16°C	17°C
03:00	16°C	14°C	17°C	15°C	16°C
04:00	16°C	14°C	17°C	15°C	16°C
05:00	16°C	14°C	17°C	15°C	16°C
06:00	16°C	12°C	17°C	15°C	16°C
07:00	16°C	12°C	17°C	15°C	16°C
08:00	16°C	12°C	18°C	14°C	17°C
09:00	16°C	13°C	18°C	15°C	17°C
10:00	17°C	14°C	19°C	16°C	18°C
11:00	18°C	15°C	20°C	17°C	19°C
12:00	18°C	15°C	22°C	17°C	19°C
13:00	20°C	16°C	23°C	18°C	21°C
14:00	19°C	16°C	23°C	18°C	21°C
15:00	20°C	16°C	24°C	19°C	21°C
16:00	19°C	16°C	24°C	18°C	21°C
17:00	19°C	16°C	24°C	18°C	20°C
18:00	19°C	15°C	22°C	17°C	19°C
19:00	18°C	15°C	22°C	17°C	18°C
20:00	18°C	15°C	20°C	17°C	18°C
21:00	17°C	15°C	20°C	17°C	18°C
22:00	17°C	13°C	19°C	16°C	18°C
23:00	17°C	12°C	19°C	15°C	18°C

observed highs last 14 days Iowa Environmental Mesonet

11-10 12°C —

11-09 18°C —

11-08 17°C —

11-07 19°C —

11-06 20°C —

11-05 21°C —

11-04 21°C —

11-03 17°C —

11-02 20°C —

11-01 20°C —

10-31 22°C —

10-30 23°C —

10-29 24°C —

10-28 20°C —

forecast record what our morning pick said last 14 days

daymodelsaid highmiss

08-11ICON18°17°+1.2°

07-11ICON20°19°+1.2°

06-11ICON22°20°+1.7°

05-11Environment Canada GEM21°21°+0.1°

04-11Environment Canada GEM23°21°+1.6°

03-11Environment Canada GEM21°17°+4.0°

02-11Environment Canada GEM21°20°+1.0°

01-11Environment Canada GEM19°20°-0.8°

31-10Environment Canada GEM24°22°+2.3°

30-10Environment Canada GEM24°23°+0.9°

29-10Environment Canada GEM25°24°+0.6°

28-10Environment Canada GEM21°20°+0.5°

27-10Environment Canada GEM19°19°-0.2°

26-10Environment Canada GEM19°20°-1.3°

Each morning the site picks the model that has missed least here lately and takes out its usual lean; this is that forecast, made before the day's heating, beside what the station recorded. Over all 30 scored days: a typical miss of 1.1°, within a degree on 50% of days.

what each model says daily maximum ordered by accuracy at this station

models disagree by2.0°across 7 models today

modeltoday tomorrow its typical miss

Environment Canada GEM16.5°16.7°1.04°most accurate here

DWD ICON16.2°15.3°1.08°

UK Met Office15.7°15.1°1.22°

NOAA GFS15.5°15.5°1.31°

ECMWF IFS16.3°16.1°1.37°

JMA GSM17.4°17.6°1.38°

CMA GRAPES15.4°15.4°1.95°

Ordered by each model's track record at this station, not by a global ranking — the best model is not the same everywhere, and the median gap between a station's best and worst model is 1.2°C. A wide disagreement means the models have found different weather, not that the average of them is right.

model skill which model to trust here vs observed station max

model accuracy typical miss warm / cold within 1°

Environment Canada GEM1.04°-0.46°55%

DWD ICON1.08°-0.59°61%

UK Met Office1.22°+0.30°61%

NOAA GFS1.31°-0.16°45%

ECMWF IFS1.37°-0.16°45%

JMA GSM1.38°+0.08°45%

CMA GRAPES1.95°-1.49°24%

Typical miss is how far off the model usually is, in either direction — lower is better. Warm / cold is which way it leans: a model can be accurate on average and still run consistently warm here. Within 1° is how often it landed inside a degree. Scored against what this station actually recorded, over 38 days.

forecast TAF, valid 10/06Z→11/06Z

forecast max17°at 10/07Zmin 8°issued by the national met service

base10/06Z→11/06Z200° 3mps; 6000m; scattered at 5,000ft

TAF ZUUU 100301Z 1006/1106 20003MPS 6000 SCT050 TX17/1007Z TN08/1022Z

market vs climatology today 68 past days near this date

max market climatology marketclimate days

≤11°C0%1%1/68

12°C0%3%2/68

13°C0%1%1/68

14°C0%0%0/68

15°C0%3%2/68

16°C0%10%7/68

17°C99%12%8/68

18°C1%13%9/68

19°C0%22%15/68

20°C0%9%6/68

≥21°C0%25%17/68

Climatology is what this station actually recorded on this date across five years of IEM observations, bucketed on the rounded whole degree exactly as the market settles. It is a base rate, not a forecast — it knows nothing about today's weather, and the market does. Where the two differ, the market usually has the better information. Market column sums to 101% and climatology to 100%.